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simonplmak-cloud/startup-valuation

Startup Valuation Engine

Comprehensive startup valuation library implementing 80+ formulas from the Startup Valuation textbook. Python library + MCP server + AI-Agent Skills.

PyPI CI License: MIT Python 3.10+ Docs

Overview

A production-grade Python library for startup valuation, implementing every formula from the Startup Valuation textbook by Simon Mak (Valuation in Practice Series, Ascent Partners). Designed for developers, financial analysts, and AI agents who need auditable, structured valuation computations.

Three-layer architecture:

  1. Python Library — 14 modules, 80+ typed functions, all returning ValuationResult (value + assumptions + sensitivity)
  2. MCP Server — 60+ tools for AI agents (Claude, OpenCode, etc.) via stdio/SSE
  3. AI-Agent Skills — 5 skill definitions with workflow guidance for valuation domains

Installation

pip install startup-valuation          # library only
pip install startup-valuation[mcp]     # + MCP server
pip install startup-valuation[dev]     # + pytest, ruff, mypy

Quick Start

Python Library

from startup_valuation.core import scorecard_valuation, vc_method_post_money
from startup_valuation.advanced import black_scholes, scenario_analysis
from startup_valuation.types import Scenario

# Scorecard Method (pre-revenue startups)
result = scorecard_valuation(
    average_valuation=1_500_000,
    weights=[0.30, 0.25, 0.15, 0.10, 0.10, 0.05, 0.05],
    scores=[1.25, 1.50, 1.20, 0.75, 1.00, 0.90, 1.00],
)
print(f"Scorecard: ${result.value:,.0f}")  # $1,800,000

# Black-Scholes for real options (startup equity)
result = black_scholes(
    underlying=20_000_000, strike=5_000_000,
    risk_free_rate=0.05, volatility=0.40, time_to_maturity=1.0,
)
print(f"Option value: ${result.value:,.0f}")  # $15,240,000

# Scenario Analysis
scenarios = [
    Scenario("bull", 0.20, 10_000_000),
    Scenario("base", 0.60, 5_000_000),
    Scenario("bear", 0.20, 1_000_000),
]
result = scenario_analysis(scenarios)
print(f"Expected value: ${result.value:,.0f}")  # $5,200,000

MCP Server (for AI Agents)

cd mcp_server && python server.py

Connect with any MCP-compatible AI agent. All 60+ valuation tools available.

AI-Agent Skills

Copy the skills/ directory to your agent's skills folder:

  • valuation-core — Scorecard, Berkus, VC Method, Risk Factor Summation
  • valuation-advanced — Black-Scholes, Binomial, Monte Carlo, Scenario Analysis
  • valuation-industry — SaaS, Biotech, Fintech, Marketplace, Hardware
  • valuation-stakeholder — Dilution, OPM, PWERM, Liquidation Preference
  • valuation-emerging — SAFE, Crypto (MV=PQ), ESG, Metcalfe's Law

Valuation Methods by Category

Category Methods Chapter
Probability Expected value, joint probability, Poisson 2
Time Value PV, NPV, annuity 2
CAPM CAPM, portfolio beta, startup-adjusted 2
Core Scorecard, Berkus, Risk Factor, VC Method 3
Advanced Black-Scholes, Binomial, Monte Carlo, Scenario 4
Comparables P/E, P/S, EV/EBITDA, regression-adjusted 5
SaaS LTV, CAC, NRR, Magic Number, Rule of 40 11
Biotech rNPV, decision tree, peak sales, pipeline 11
Fintech Payment revenue, lending, neobank, network effects 11
Marketplace GMV, take rate, liquidity, network density 11
Hardware TRL-adjusted, break-even, P-weighted DCF 11
International PPP, CRP, currency-adjusted DCF, Damodaran 12
Stakeholders Dilution, OPM, PWERM, liquidation, synergies 13
Emerging SAFE, MV=PQ, ESG, Metcalfe's, data moat 14

Why This Library?

  • Auditable — Every function returns ValuationResult with value, method, inputs, assumptions, and sensitivity analysis
  • Textbook-accurate — All formulas verified against book example values with unit tests
  • AI-ready — MCP server and Skills for seamless AI agent integration
  • Industry-specific — Dedicated modules for SaaS, biotech, fintech, marketplace, and hardware startups
  • Open source — MIT license, extensible, well-documented

Development

# Install dev dependencies
pip install -e ".[dev]"

# Run tests (101 tests, ~6s)
pytest

# Run with coverage
pytest --cov=startup_valuation --cov-report=term-missing

# Lint
ruff check .

# Type check
mypy src/startup_valuation

Documentation

Companion Textbook

Startup Valuation: A Comprehensive Guide to Valuing Fast-Growing Pre-Revenue Companies
Theory, Methods, Regulation, and Practice — Valuation in Practice Series by Ascent Partners
By Simon Mak · 338 pages · 15 chapters · 300+ exercises · 20+ real-world cases

Citing This Project

@software{startup_valuation_engine,
  author = {Mak, Simon},
  title = {Startup Valuation Engine},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://github.com/simonplmak-cloud/startup-valuation},
  license = {MIT},
}

Based on formulas from the Startup Valuation textbook. See output/ for the full textbook source in markdown.

License

MIT — see LICENSE for details.

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Comprehensive startup valuation library with 80+ formulas, MCP server, and AI-agent skills

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