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<!DOCTYPE html>
<html>
<head>
<style>
body { font-family: Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 1.6; color: #000000; max-width: 1200px; margin: 0 auto; padding: 20px; }
table { border-collapse: collapse; margin: 20px 0; width: 100%; font-size: 13px; }
th, td { padding: 8px 12px; border: 1px solid #ddd; text-align: left; }
th { background-color: #f0f0f0; font-weight: bold; }
img { max-width: 100%; height: auto; }
h1 { color: #d9534f; font-size: 1.5rem; }
h2 { color: #5bc0de; margin-top: 30px; font-size: 1.25rem; }
h3 { color: #000000; font-size: 1.1rem; }
.forecast-caption { font-size: 16px; color: #444444; margin-top: 4px; }
small { font-size: 11px; color: #333; }
hr { border: 0; border-top: 1px solid #ddd; margin: 20px 0; }
.aurora-watch-row { display: flex; flex-wrap: wrap; gap: 16px; margin: 16px 0; }
.aurora-col { flex: 1 1 0; min-width: 280px; }
.aurora-forecast-img { width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; }
.aurora-forecast-video { width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; }
</style>
</head>
<body>
<h2 style="color: #d9534f;">SPACE WEATHER ALERT - SEVERE STORM CONDITIONS (G5) with probability ≥ 50% predicted</h2>
<h3>From 14:03 (UTC) 25.03.2026 to 14:03 (UTC) 26.03.2026, Geomagnetic Activity can reach SEVERE STORM CONDITIONS with Kp = 9 with probability ≥ 50%.</h3>
<p><strong>Current Conditions:</strong> QUIET (Observed Kp available up to 12:00 (UTC) 25.03.2026)</p>
<p><strong>Alert sent at:</strong> 14:03 (UTC) 25.03.2026 </p>
<p><img alt="Forecast Image" src="./kp_swift_ensemble_with_swpc_LAST.png" /></p>
<p class="forecast-caption">Bar colours indicate geomagnetic activity levels: green corresponds to quiet conditions (Kp < 3), yellow to moderate activity (3 < Kp ≤ 6), and red to high storm conditions (Kp > 6). The red dashed line shows the official NOAA SWPC Kp forecast. Error bars represent the minimum-maximum spread of forecasted Kp values.</p>
<h2>STORM PROBABILITY FORECAST (Kp ≥ 6)</h2>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Time (UTC)</th>
<th>Probability of kp 6-7</th>
<th>Probability of kp 7-8</th>
<th>Probability of kp ≥8</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>25.03.2026 14:03</td>
<td>15%</td>
<td>25%</td>
<td>25%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>25.03.2026 17:03</td>
<td>15%</td>
<td>20%</td>
<td>20%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>25.03.2026 20:03</td>
<td>25%</td>
<td>20%</td>
<td>20%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>26.03.2026 02:03</td>
<td>5%</td>
<td>20%</td>
<td>30%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>26.03.2026 08:03</td>
<td>20%</td>
<td>30%</td>
<td>20%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>26.03.2026 11:03</td>
<td>15%</td>
<td>10%</td>
<td>30%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>26.03.2026 14:03</td>
<td>20%</td>
<td>20%</td>
<td>25%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>26.03.2026 17:03</td>
<td>30%</td>
<td>25%</td>
<td>5%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><em>Showing timestamps where combined probability of Kp ≥ 6 exceeds 50%</em></p>
<h2>GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY SCALE</h2>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Level</th>
<th>Kp Value</th>
<th>Description</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td><strong>Quiet</strong></td>
<td><strong>0-3</strong></td>
<td>Quiet conditions</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Active</strong></td>
<td><strong>4</strong></td>
<td>Moderate geomagnetic activity</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Minor Storm (G1)</strong></td>
<td><strong>5</strong></td>
<td>Weak power grid fluctuations. For more details see <a href="https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation#:~:text=G%201">NOAA [G1]</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Moderate Storm (G2)</strong></td>
<td><strong>6</strong></td>
<td>High-latitude power systems affected. For more details see <a href="https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation#:~:text=G%202">NOAA [G2]</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Strong Storm (G3)</strong></td>
<td><strong>7</strong></td>
<td>Power systems may need voltage corrections. For more details see <a href="https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation#:~:text=G%203">NOAA [G3]</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Severe Storm (G4)</strong></td>
<td><strong>8</strong></td>
<td>Possible widespread voltage control problems. For more details see <a href="https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation#:~:text=G%204">NOAA [G4]</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Extreme Storm (G5)</strong></td>
<td><strong>9</strong></td>
<td>Widespread power system voltage control problems. For more details see <a href="https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation#:~:text=G%205">NOAA [G5]</a></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<h2><strong>AURORA WATCH:</strong></h2>
<div class="aurora-watch-row">
<div class="aurora-col">
<img src="./aurora_LAST.png" alt="Kp-dependent Auroral Intensity Prediction" class="aurora-forecast-img" />
</div>
<div class="aurora-col">
<img src="./aurora_forecast.gif" alt="Kp-dependent Auroral Intensity Prediction" class="aurora-forecast-img" />
</div>
</div>
<p><strong>Note:</strong> Kp ≥ 7 indicate potential auroral activity at Berlin latitudes. Time indicated in UTC.</p>
<p><em>This is an automated alert from the Kp Index Monitoring System using GFZ Space Weather Forecast.</em></p>
<hr />
<p><small><br />
© 2026 GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences | GFZ Helmholtz-Zentrum für Geoforschung<br />
The data/data products are provided "as-is" without warranty of any kind either expressed or implied, including but not limited to the implied warranties of merchantability, correctness and fitness for a particular purpose. The entire risk as to the quality and performance of the Data/data products is with the Licensee.<br />
In no event will GFZ be liable for any damages direct, indirect, incidental, or consequential, including damages for any lost profits, lost savings, or other incidental or consequential damages arising out of the use or inability to use the data/data products.<br />
</small></p>
</body>
</html>